Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.049005 0.057256 0.066447 0.077444 0.090241 0.104664 0.122159
2025-10-05 0.036666 0.047562 0.060990 0.078750 0.101623 0.130098 0.168265
2025-10-12 0.029160 0.040987 0.056737 0.079233 0.110538 0.152580 0.213395
2025-10-19 0.024098 0.036184 0.053341 0.079443 0.118151 0.173467 0.258638
2025-10-26 0.020715 0.032934 0.051258 0.080698 0.126813 0.196336 0.309287
2025-11-02 0.018410 0.030797 0.050307 0.083211 0.137327 0.222880 0.368663
2025-11-09 0.015537 0.027235 0.046507 0.080487 0.138923 0.235409 0.407154
2025-11-16 0.013660 0.024999 0.044472 0.080243 0.144340 0.254493 0.458593
2025-11-23 0.012025 0.022915 0.042355 0.079465 0.148565 0.271836 0.508964
2025-11-30 0.010981 0.021733 0.041639 0.081029 0.157066 0.297538 0.577397
2025-12-07 0.009782 0.020073 0.039797 0.080192 0.160885 0.315004 0.632470
2025-12-14 0.008598 0.018265 0.037420 0.077956 0.161632 0.326610 0.677453
2025-12-21 0.007519 0.016535 0.035000 0.075379 0.161499 0.336759 0.721487
2025-12-28 0.006986 0.015884 0.034695 0.077144 0.170564 0.366544 0.810050
2026-01-04 0.006410 0.015050 0.033890 0.077716 0.177136 0.391916 0.892474
2026-01-11 0.005873 0.014227 0.032990 0.077942 0.182946 0.416307 0.975817
2026-01-18 0.005469 0.013651 0.032564 0.079177 0.191176 0.446960 1.077205
2026-01-25 0.005185 0.013323 0.032661 0.081644 0.202581 0.486125 1.203382
2026-02-01 0.004615 0.012204 0.030738 0.078971 0.201301 0.495655 1.259861
2026-02-08 0.004247 0.011545 0.029846 0.078731 0.205968 0.519876 1.355487
2026-02-15 0.003889 0.010862 0.028805 0.077968 0.209202 0.540954 1.445864
2026-02-22 0.003677 0.010542 0.028652 0.079503 0.218586 0.578524 1.583618
2026-03-01 0.003378 0.009937 0.027669 0.078681 0.221594 0.600096 1.681768